Scenario planning is used specifically in the business industry to ‘identify the present and future as a continually evolving story’. This method helps to see the present, whilst also looking at possible future scenarios.
It is measured by the degree of uncertainty, comparing unknown and known solutions to known and unknown problems. Personally, I think that this will allow businesses to set more achievable goals, because the measures are specific. However, would some suggest that they are too broad, as it captures a whole range of possibilities?
Firms can use scenario planning to analyse the current situation of their business e.g. where they are in the given market at current, and where they aim to be in the future. Again, allowing goals to be set. It can help guide an organisation in the long term.
For scenario planning to be successful companies need to be realistic when planning ahead, whilst also implementing strategies. Lastly, it is important to continue to monitor any changes in the market, during the period of your scenario implementation.
Apple have used scenario planning to keep its options open, allowing it to identify a range of potential outcomes, whilst keeping itself in a good position to stay competitive. More on Apple’s strategy, regarding the use of computer chips is mentioned at http://adamhartung.com/scenario-planning-at-apple/. Apple are a very successful market leader, which shows that scenario planning must be a worthwhile technique.